Personal Finance Financial Planning

Personal Finance Series: looking ahead at the Two-Pot Retirement System

Dieketseng Maleke|Published

Explore the evolving landscape of South Africa's two-pot retirement system, examining its impact on financial resilience, household liquidity, and the importance of long-term savings strategies.

Image: Pixabay

The opening of the 2026/27 tax year on March 1 marked the third withdrawal window since the inception of the Two‑Pot retirement system. This milestone offers a valuable opportunity to reflect on how the system is maturing, how members are interacting with their accessible savings, and what lies ahead for retirement preservation in South Africa, according to Rigitté Van Zyl, executive at FundsAtWork and Group Insurance, Momentum Corporate.

Credit stress and household liquidity

She says while insurance and savings structures have absorbed some of the financial impact of economic volatility, the recurring nature of withdrawals points to a widening gap in household liquidity.

The Momentum Bureau of Market Research (BMR) report shows that nearly half of South African households would struggle to cover an unexpected expense without borrowing or accessing savings. Insights from Eighty20’s Q4 2025 Credit Stress Report add context: 40% of credit‑active South Africans are in default on one or more loans, with overdue balances increasing by R12 billion in the final quarter of 2025, she says.

Crucially, credit stress is no longer confined to lower‑income brackets. Even “comfortable retirees” and high‑income households are showing increased default rates, suggesting that financial pressure is permeating all tiers of the economy. The two‑pot system has provided relief, but it has also highlighted the depth of household vulnerability.

The long-term cost of short-term relief

According to Van Zyl, the industry remains concerned about the cumulative effect of repeated maximum withdrawals. The primary risk is the loss of compound growth, the engine of retirement wealth.

Every R10,000 withdrawn today represents a significant reduction in future purchasing power. For younger members, the long‑term impact is several times that amount at retirement, she says.

This is why retirement benefit counselling is essential. Professional guidance can help members understand the long-term implications of their choices and ensure that the convenience of the savings pot doesn't compromise a dignified retirement.

A positive reform, but not a free pass

As Caroline Naylor‑Renn, COO at 10X Investments, explained: “South Africa’s Two‑Pot retirement system is a positive, but should always be used as a last resort.”

The 10X Retirement Reality Report found that 56% of working people changing jobs admitted to cashing in their retirement savings, with some even resigning just to access funds. The two‑pot system has changed that dynamic by limiting withdrawals to the savings pot, while preserving the retirement pot.

However, Naylor‑Renn cautioned against withdrawing at the first opportunity. Missing out on the magic of compound interest is one of the biggest risks. For example, R5,000 invested over 20 years at 8% annually grows to R23,304, while R15,000 invested over five years grows to only R22,039. Early withdrawals handicap this exponential growth, and even if members later replace the money, they cannot recover the lost time.

Tax implications add another layer of risk. Withdrawals from the savings pot are taxed at the member’s marginal rate, while waiting until retirement allows access to the retirement tax table, where the first R550,000 is tax‑free.

Behavioural shifts and policy evolution

By June 2025, the National Treasury revealed that members had withdrawn nearly R57 billion through the new access channel, with almost four million withdrawals. By March 2025, 478,000 members had already made a second withdrawal.

Van Zyl says this shows that while the system has curbed full cash‑outs, it has not fundamentally changed behaviour. Treasury has therefore positioned auto‑enrolment as the logical successor to the two‑pot framework.

The UK’s experience offers a blueprint, she says. Since introducing auto‑enrolment in 2012, participation in workplace pensions has grown from fewer than 12 million to more than 22 million people, with three‑quarters of the workforce now saving. South Africa still relies on voluntary participation, leaving roughly 30% of formal‑sector workers outside any retirement fund, says Van Zyl.

Treasury’s default regulation framework is pushing funds to set clear defaults for investment portfolios, preservation, and annuity strategies. Defaults matter more than choice: most members stay in the default fund for their entire working lives, which means the design of these defaults, contribution rates, life‑cycle investment strategies, and fee structures will determine retirement outcomes.

Looking ahead

The Two‑Pot system has provided South Africans with flexibility and relief during tough economic times. But the evidence shows that repeated withdrawals, driven by debt stress and household liquidity gaps, are eroding the long‑term benefits.

PERSONAL FINANCE